The purpose of the ninth conference organised by the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy (IRFMP) is to promote the discussion of innovative research on theoretical and empirical macroeconomic issues with relevance for monetary policy.
The conference covered a broad range of themes in macroeconomics and finance with a view to the medium and long run. A special emphasis was on methodological, theoretical and empirical aspects and on their relevance for economic policy.
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In many European economies, the recovery following the financial crisis has proven either sluggish or non-existent. Many countries suffer from persistently high level of unemployment, coupled with sluggish credit dynamics and stretched fiscal budgets. These outcomes put pressure on policymakers to step up the growth potential of their economies, so as to absorb the slack in labour markets and to stabilize debt dynamics.
The conference seeks to bring together academics entertaining different views about the likely sources and remedies to the European situation.
Gauti Eggertsson (Brown University), Bob Hall (Stanford University) and Alp Simpsek (MIT) have confirmed their participation.
Click here for the program.
The recent turbulent times have revived the interest in business cycle analysis, forecasting and methods to assess the effects of economic policies. This, in turn, has generated the development of refined or totally new econometric methods, in particular based on Bayesian techniques. The conference will cover a broad range of econometric themes with emphasis on methodological, theoretical and empirical aspects and their relevance for economic policy making.
Fabio Canova (EUI), Herman van Dijk (Erasmus University), Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde (University of Pennsylvania), Alejandro Justiniano (Chicago FED) and Hashem Pesaran (University of Southern California and University of Cambridge) have confirmed their participation.
Call for papers deadline: passed
Individual households differ along multiple dimensions, e.g., wealth, indebtness, income, education or benefits.Firms also vary in terms of size, productivity or access to credit. Accounting for agents heterogenity can have important implications when studying the impact of economic shocks and effectivness of economic policy. This conference aims to to include both theoretical and empirical contibutions discussing these issues.
F. Guvenen (U. Minnesota), W. den Haan (LSE), A. McKay (Boston U.), A. Sahin (Fed NY), T. Smith (Yale U.) have confirmed their participation.
In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis a number of policy issues have been brought to the centre stage of both policy debates and academic research. This conference aims to bring together some of the recent papers on economics recovery following boom-burst episodes, debt consolidation and sustainability and crisis, fiscal and monetary policy in a liquidity trap, the effects of newly designed policy institutions and institutional reform in the European Union. For more details see the call available below.
Partecipation has been confirmed by: Mark Aguiar (Princeton U.), Emmanuel Farhi (Harvard U. and CEPR), Ricardo Reis (Columbia U. and CEPR) and Jaume Ventura (CREI and CEPR).
Judgement and expert knowledge is widely thought to be important in the successful practice of forecasting. For policymakers, forecasts also embody judgements about the state of the economy, the transmission of shocks and optimal policy responses which necessitate the use of structural models. DSGE models estimated by Bayesian methods have become popular, partly because the models have become popular, partly because the models have well defined structural interpretations and because the Bayesian framework allows judgements about model properties to be embodied in priors. There is, however, uncertainty about both model parameters and the correct model.
This conference aimed to bring together policymakers and academics interested in these issues.
Click here for the program and the papers.
Inflation is at the moment under control in most of the developed world, in some areas there are deflation risks and in others active policies are in place to exit from deflation. However, rising fiscal deficits and public debt and unconventional monetary policy may have inflationary effects in the medium run, though the transmission mechanisms are still unclear and the uncertain enviroment makes it difficult to project future effects and developments in inflation expectations. This conference will focus on empirical and theoretical contributions providing an assessment of various issues related to inflation developments, offering new perspectives on structural analysis, forecasting and economic policy design and assessment.
In an increasingly integrated global economy, assessing the propagation of shocks is becoming of major interest to the international economic cycles analysis. This conference focused on empirical and theoretical contributions providing an assessment of various spillover effects at a global level and new prospectives on structural analysis, forecasting and economic policy design and assessment.
The global financial crisis has stimulated theoretical and empirical research on the sources and propagnation mechanismus underlying business cycles. In particular, it called into question standard methods based on macroeconomic aggregates.
The conference focused on empirical and theoretical contributions providing a more disaggregate perspective on business cycles and new perspectives on structural analysis, forecasting, as well as economic policy design and assassment.
Empirical applications on the euro area are particularly welcome.